当前市场行情低迷，情绪普遍较为平淡。很多人问，牛市还在吗？答案是肯定的。
The market's down and the moods are generally flat. Many people ask if the bull market is still there. The answer is yes.
这一切的关键都取决于比特币（BTC）的走势。回想三个月前，当BTC达到64,000美元时，市场情绪极度乐观，甚至有人预言会涨到10万美元。而三个月后的今天，虽然价格仍然是64,000美元，但情绪却变成了：“还在跌，还在跌…”
The key to all this depends on the direction of the Bitcoin (BTC). Three months ago, when BTC reached $64,000, the market mood was extremely optimistic, and some predicted it would rise to $100,000.
要改变这种现象，可能需要再经历一波下跌，让山寨币的幻想彻底破灭，挤出市场泡沫，从而跌出性价比；或者需要有充足的流动性进入市场，山寨币才能重新崛起。
To change this phenomenon, another wave of decline may be needed, so that the illusions of the bounties can be dashed out of market bubbles and thus fall out of value for money; or sufficient liquidity is needed to enter the market so that the bounties can re-emerge.
目前，比特币一旦拉升就会被砸下来，这可能是部分矿工在抛售。当前价格对一些小矿工来说很难生存，按照常理，他们早就应该清理掉不合格或者设备陈旧的矿工了。但由于BRC-20和Runes协议的出现，链上手续费前段时间较为乐观，无意中延长了清算周期。
At this point, Bitcoin will be thrown down, probably by some miners. The current price is very difficult for some small miners to survive.
等到矿工清算完毕，新的一轮算力增长时，大盘将再次上扬，冲击10万美元大关。我预计，比特币的调整将在7月份左右结束，然后逐渐开始上涨。
By the time the miners are cleared and a new round of power increases, the big game will rise again, hitting $100,000. I expect that Bitcoin’s adjustment will end around July, and then begin to rise.
比特币不可能一直涨，但也不可能一直跌。
Bitcoin couldn't keep going up, but it couldn't keep going down.
当前的震荡行情和市场情绪在下一个牛市来临时仍然会出现。因此，大家现在可以多加观察，观察什么呢？
The current concussions and market moods are still on the way to the next cow market. So, you can see more now. What are you looking at?
观察比特币的波动与山寨币之间的关系。宏观经济、流动性和市场情绪决定了比特币的价格，而比特币的价格和流动性又决定了山寨币的价格。比特币会有上涨的机会，山寨币也肯定会有的。
Observe the relationship between bitcoin fluctuations and mountain coins. Macroeconomics, liquidity, and market sentiment determine the price of bitcoins, while bitcoins and liquidity determine the price of mountaincoins.
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