莱 道 区 块 链 科学是莱道评判的唯一标准
Science is the only criterion for Laidu's judgment.
作者丨莱道君
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来源丨莱道区块链（laidaoblockchain）
Source: Laidaoblockchain
加密货币继续在世界经济的各个领域获得青睐，一些世界上最具影响力和最受欢迎的人也对该行业表示了支持。特斯拉(Tesla)的埃隆马斯克(Elon Musk)就是其中之一，他喜欢比特币的工作方式。
Encrypted money continues to be favoured in all areas of the world economy, and some of the world’s most influential and popular people have supported the industry. One of them is Elon Musk, Tesla’s Elon Musk, who likes Bitcoin’s way of working.
马斯克再奶比特币
Mask milks bitcoin >/strang >
2月20日，在接受投资公司ARK Invest的播客采访时，SpaceX和特斯拉的创始人兼首席执行官马斯克表达了对比特币结构的赞赏，称其“非常棒”。马斯克直言不讳地表示，比特币确实是比纸币更好的价值转移方式。
On 20 February, in an interview with an investment company, ARK Invest, the founder and chief executive officer of SpaceX and Tesla expressed appreciation for the Bitcoin structure, calling it “excellent.” Muscot said categorically that Bitcoin was indeed a better way to transfer value than a banknote.
在马斯克看来，纸币正在退出市场。他指出，比特币规避货币管制的能力是其吸引全球大多数人的优势之一。从这个意义上说，加密货币提供了一种比法定货币更好的选择。
In Mask’s view, banknotes are out of the market. He noted that Bitcoin’s ability to circumvent currency regulation is one of its advantages in attracting most people around the world. In this sense, encrypted currency offers a better option than statutory currency.
此外，马斯克还谈到了他的公司不参与加密业务的问题。虽然他认为加密技术，尤其是比特币背后的概念非常棒，但马斯克认为，像特斯拉这样的公司进入加密业务并不合适，尤其是考虑到特斯拉是一家致力于开发可持续能源技术的公司。
In addition, Mask spoke about his company’s lack of involvement in encryption. While he thought that encryption technology, particularly the concept behind Bitcoin, was very good, he did not think that it was appropriate for a company like Tesla to enter encryption, especially given that Tesla was a company dedicated to developing sustainable energy technologies.
与此相反，比特币网络消耗巨大的能量和计算能力，这与该公司的愿景背道而驰。因此，马斯克认为参与到加密业务的事情，不会是一个谨慎的使用资源的公司。（当然他这么说也是谨慎的，毕竟他是上市公司的老板，话点到为止）
By contrast, the Bitcoin network consumes enormous energy and computing power, contrary to the company’s vision. Therefore, Musk believes that involvement in encryption is not a prudent use of resources.
传闻马斯克为比特币之父
早在，2017年底，就已经盛传，堪称奇人的马斯克为比特币之父中本聪。实际上这是一位，耶鲁大学计算机科学专业学生、SpaceX前实习生萨希尔·古普塔(Sahil Gupta)，2015年爆料引发的，他认为马斯克是中本聪古怪想法为以下四点：
As early as the end of 2017, it was widely known that the curious Mask was the father of Bitcoin. In fact, this was a student in computer science at Yale University, Sahil Gupta, a former trainee at SpaceX, who started the 2015 explosion, who thought that Mask was a mid-term eccentric idea with the following four points:
1. 技术能力：比特币是由精通C++语言的人创造的，而马斯克曾在SpaceX大量使用这种编程语言。马斯克于2013年发表的“超级高铁”（Hyperloop）论文显示，他对密码学和经济学都有着深刻的理解。
Technical competence: Bitcoin was created by people who are proficient in C++, a programming language that Mr. Mask used extensively in SpaceX. The “hyperloop” paper published by Mr. Muskeh in 2013 showed that he had a deep understanding of cryptography and economics.
2. 对解决全球问题的热情：比特币出现于2008年，当时正是全球陷入金融危机的时候，也是人们对银行业感到普遍厌恶的一年。如果有时间为人们创造不受银行干预影响的货币，比特币就是最好的选择。
2. The enthusiasm for solving global problems: Bitcoin emerged in 2008 at a time of global financial crisis and a year of widespread resentment against the banking sector. Bitcoin is the best option if there is time to create a currency that is not affected by bank intervention.
3. 对“比特币发明者”的相关问题始终保持沉默：马斯克只提到过几次比特币。他曾公开表示，他个人并未拥有任何比特币。甚至在被问及对加密货币的看法时，他发布了下面这条显得有些圆滑的推文：“现在中本聪已经被发现了，事情已经结束了。”
He said publicly that he personally did not own any bitcoin. Even when asked about the idea of encoded currency, he published the following tweet, which appeared to be a bit smooth: “Now that he has been discovered, the matter is over.”
4.马斯克不需要这笔钱：2016年6月，当比特币的价格达到719美元时，中本聪持有的比特币被估值为7亿美元。按今天的价格计算，这些比特币的价值超过80亿美元，不到马斯克当前身价（197亿美元）的一半。
4. Musk does not need the money: in June 2016, when the price of Bitcoin reached $719, the amount of bitcoin held by Bintko was valued at $700 million. At today's prices, the value of the bitcoins exceeded $8 billion, less than half of the price currently held by Masco ($19.7 billion).
但是也有相关证据表明，马斯克并非中本聪
But there's also evidence that Musk is not half-breed.
1.2008年是马斯克“最糟糕的一年”：对于马斯克来说，2008年是个值得纪念的年份，他曾公开宣称这是他最糟糕的一年，因为SpaceX和特斯拉都遭遇到早期挑战，而他的个人财务状况和感情关系都处于危险之中。而在当时，马斯克都可能无法专心研究比特币。
The year 2008 was the “worst year” for Musk: 2008 was a memorable year for Mask, who publicly declared it to be his worst year, as both SpaceX and Tesla faced early challenges and his personal financial and emotional relationships were at risk, and neither of them could be able to focus on Bitcoin at that time.
2. 马斯克生活在聚光灯下：2016年，当马斯克在Reddit上被传为中本聪时，Reddit社区立刻爆发了激烈争论。大多数人支持的观点是，马斯克永远无法保守这么大的秘密，更何况还要面对银行和监管部门试图摧毁加密货币的压力。
2. Mask lives under a spotlight: in 2016, the Reddit community immediately started a fierce debate when Mask was passed on Reddit. Most support was expressed for the view that Mask would never be able to keep such a secret, especially in the face of pressure from banks and regulators to destroy encrypted money.
3.马斯克的公开声明可能对比特币汇率产生负面影响：在采访中被问及比特币时，马斯克的反应显得非常谨慎。马斯克称比特币“可能是一件好事”，但它的主要用途是充当非法交易的工具。
Musk's public statements may have had a negative impact on the Bitcoin exchange rate: when asked about Bitcoin in interviews, Masco's reaction was very cautious. Musco calls Bitcoin “maybe a good thing”, but its main purpose is to act as a tool for illegal transactions.
无论怎样，马斯克和比特币的密切关系都是毋庸置疑的！
In any case, the close relationship between Musk and Bitcoin is unquestionable!
比特币六连阳后维持上涨势头？
Bitcoin after six suns?
马斯克在接受采访的2月20日，其实已经是比特币连续上涨的第六天了，各种利好因素频现，导致比特币整个2月份一直在上涨，如今马斯克又对比特币进行赞赏，那是不是意味着比特币继续上涨呢？
On February 20th, when Musk was interviewed, it was actually the sixth day of a consecutive increase in bitcoin, and the profit factors became available, leading to a rise in bitcoin throughout the month, which is now appreciated by Musco and by bitcoin. Does that mean that bitcoin continues to rise?
从基本面上来看，比特币最近因为闪电网络的崛起，主链得到扩展，这是在近几年一直争论扩展性问题中首次得到验证，说明2017年的升级添加隔离见证是明智选择，当然也有比特现金这个扩大区块发展远远不如比特币相互印证。
In basic terms, Bitcoin's recent expansion of the main chain as a result of the rise of the lightning network has been proven for the first time in recent years in the debate about expansion, suggesting that an upgrade in 2017 to add a witness of isolation is a wise choice, and that there is, of course, Bitcoin cash, an expanded block that is far less developed than bitcoin.
同时，2020年比特币减半利好预期越来越浓，大部分人已经做好了长持比特币的准备，因为最长时间也就一年左右，时间并不长，但是有之前惊人涨幅历史作参考，不管是机构还是散户，都信心倍增。
At the same time, the expectations of halving the profits of bitcoin by 2020 are increasing, and most people are ready to hold bitcoin for long periods of time and not for long periods of time, but there has been an alarming increase in the history of the past, with a doubling of confidence, both in institutions and in the diaspora.
从宏观经济面来看，美股（主要看区块链板块）已经连涨2个月，带动全球股市的全面复苏，其中A股这两个月走势也较强劲，特别在最近半月，直冲2800点，当然这部分原因是来自国内的放水。但是美股依旧受美联储加息预期，也就意味着股市上行承压，可以预见性的是，目前上行步步维艰。
At the macroeconomic level, the United States share (mainly by looking at block blocks) has risen for two months, leading to a full recovery in the global stock market, with the A share showing stronger performance in these two months, particularly in the last half-month, when it hit 2,800 points, partly because of domestic flooding. But the US share continues to be expected by the Fed to increase interest rates, which means that the stock market is under pressure, and that it is predictable that it is currently struggling.
从政策面来看，各国对比特币的监管框架正逐渐落实推出，其中以对冲降低风险的比特币ETF再次提上议程，纳斯达克、纽交所也在寻求SEC（美国证监会）、CFTC（美国商品委员会）监管许可，共同构建一个安全的加密货币投资体系，值得庆幸的是这两个部门中CFTC表现的异常开放，这也就直接会正向影响SEC对加密货币的态度。因此，仅从这方面来看，接下来的日子还是值得期许的。
On the policy front, the regulatory framework of the various countries in Bitcoin is gradually being put in place, with the Bitcoin ETF back on the agenda with a hedge risk reduction, and NASDAQ and the New Dealers are seeking regulatory permission from SEC (the US CVM) and CFTC (the US Commodities Commission) to work together on a secure, encrypted monetary investment system, fortunately with the extraordinary openness shown by the CFC in these two sectors, which will directly affect the SEC’s approach to encrypted currency.
总结：短期来看，如果宏观经济依旧向好，投资者的情绪依旧高涨，对于比特币等数字货币价格来说，会沿着趋势继续爬升；长期来看，主要看基本面，闪电网络的广泛应用势不可挡和减半日期的临近，会一直上涨，至少一年时间，但是受宏观经济和政策的不确定性可能会出现震荡，但是震荡趋势依旧会往上，大多数情况下应该会是震荡的低点会越来越高！
Summing up: In the short term, if macroeconomics continue to be good, investor sentiment will continue to rise, and in the case of digital currency prices such as Bitcoin, the trend will continue to climb; in the long run, the widespread application of the lightning network, mainly on the fundamentals, will continue to rise, at least for at least a year, but the uncertainty of macroeconomics and policies may be shaken, but the trend will continue to rise, and in most cases the low point of shock should increase.
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