- 「國家隊」再出手！中央匯金增持四大行
- 據悉香港或下周一批准比特幣和以太坊現貨ETF
- 多隻周內港股「閃崩」！百億級龍頭水泥廠15分鍾暴跌99%
- 阿里巴巴升至近4周高位，馬雲發聲稱支持繼續改革
- 大摩唱多小米至20港元，看好電車與手機業務
- 友邦保險股價創近七年新低，小摩料其有望復甦
- 萬科再陷輿論風波，標普又下調其長期發行人信用評級
一、一周大盤迴顧（4.8-4.12）
本周恆生指數跌幅0.01%，報16721.69點；恆生科技指數漲幅0.68%，報3474.47點；國企指數漲幅0.27%，報5879.58點。
This week, the survival index dropped by 0.01 per cent to 16721.69 points; the survival science index rose by 0.68 per cent to 347.47 points; and the state business index increased by 0.27 per cent to 5879.58 points.
本周道瓊斯工業平均指數跌幅2.37%，報37983.24點；納斯達克綜合指數跌幅0.45%，報16175.09點；標準普爾500指數跌幅1.56%，報5123.41點。
This week, the Dow Jones industry averaged 2.37 per cent, reporting 37983.24 points; the Nasdak combined index decreased 0.45 per cent, reporting 16175.09 points; and the standard 500 indicator dropped 1.56 per cent, reporting 5123.41 points.
二、市場熱點回顧
近10個交易日的持續行情中，港股多隻黃金概念股漲幅已達兩位數以上，其中漲幅超過三成的就有5家公司。中國白銀集團(00815.HK)更是一騎絕塵累漲269%。更為值得關注的是，本周招金礦業、周大福、山東黃金多家黃金概念股一季度業績飄紅，或為黃金股的短期行情帶來了新的催化劑。 China’s White and Silver Corporation (00815.HK) has risen by 269%. More noteworthy is this week’s gold mining industry, Zhou Dafu, and many gold and gold concept units in Shandong, which have increased by more than two digits, or have produced new catalytic agents for the short-term movement of the Golden Unit. 此外，周五COMEX黃金期貨繼續上攻，主力合約最高一度接近2450美元/盎司，創下歷史新高的同時，也讓市場對金價繼續看高一線。東吳證券分析師邵翔、陶川在4月12日的報告中指出，后續金價在2500美元/盎司可能將面臨重要關口。 In addition, Friday's COMEX gold futures continued their offensive, with the combined main forces at a peak of nearly US$ 2450 per ounce at the same time that the market continues to look at the price of gold at a high point in its history. In a report on April 12, Tokugawa, an east-north bond analyst, noted that the subsequent price of US$ 2,500 per ounce might be at a critical juncture. 據知情人士透露，中國香港最早可能於周一批准現貨比特幣、以太坊ETF，但時間表並不固定，仍有可能在最后一刻做出調整。目前有兩家公司都打算在本月底推出ETF，前提是獲得香港證監會的批准，並與香港交易及結算所有限公司敲定上市細節。 According to sources, Hong Kong, China, may have approved the current currency by Monday, but the schedule is not fixed and may still be adjusted at the last minute. Both companies are currently planning to launch the ETF at the end of this month, subject to the approval of the Hong Kong SEC and the finalization of the listing details with Hong Kong Trade and Accounting Bureau Limited. 4月12日，據商務部網站，商務部等14部門聯合發佈《推動消費品以舊換新行動方案》（下稱《行動方案》）。《行動方案》明確了消費品以舊換新的重點任務之一是開展汽車以舊換新。國家發展改革委副主任趙辰昕日前表示，汽車換代更新的需求是在萬億以上級別的，再加上回收循環利用，這個市場空間是非常巨大的，對經濟增長的貢獻是不言而喻的。 On April 12, the Ministry of Business website, the Ministry of Commerce and others co-published the New Plan of Action (hereinafter referred to as the Programme of Action), which clearly states that one of the important tasks of replacing the old with the new focus is to open up cars for the new. The Deputy Director of the National Development Reform Commission, Zhao Xianxian, said that the need for a new car is more than 100 million grades, and that, together with recycling, the market space is huge and its contribution to economic growth is self-evident. 隨着五一假期，旅遊經濟概念也出現抬頭信號。據航旅縱橫的數據，截至4月10日，「五一」假期期間，國內航線機票預訂量超147萬，比一周前增長約50%；「五一」假期期間，出入境航線機票預訂量超60萬，比一周前增長約15%。 As a result of the holiday, the concept of the economy of travel appears to be raised. According to air travel, as of April 10, the scheduled number of air tickets for the national air route exceeded 1.47 million, about 50 per cent more than it was a week ago; during the holiday period, the projected number of air tickets for the air route to and from the country exceeded 600,000, about 15 per cent more than it had been a week earlier. 國家新聞出版署發佈4月進口網絡遊戲審批信息，4月有14款遊戲獲批，2024年累計共46款遊戲獲批，騰訊出版的《洛克人11》，完美世界出版的《乖離性百萬亞瑟王：環》在列。 In April, 14 games were approved, a total of 46 games were approved in 2024, Locke 11 was published by the National Press and Publications Agency, and King Arthur, King Ring, was published in the perfect world. 數據顯示，3月份，全國居民消費價格同比上漲0.1%，環比下降1.0%；3月份，全國工業生產者出廠價格同比下降2.8%，環比下降0.1%。 According to the data, in March, the national consumer price increased by 0.1 per cent compared to the same year, and the ring fell by 1.0 per cent; in March, the price of national industrial producers fell by 2.8 per cent compared to the same price, and the ring fell by 0.1 per cent. 三、公司熱點回顧
阿里巴巴港股本周表現搶眼，一度升至近四周以來的高位。消息面上，阿里巴巴創始人馬雲在公司內網發表題為《致改革致創新》的帖子，高度肯定蔡崇信和吳泳銘組成的新管理層的變革勇氣，稱阿里巴巴已重回健康成長軌道，並支持繼續改革。據悉，這是退休后的馬雲五年來首次長篇幅分享對公司改革創新及未來前景的思考。 Alibaba’s share of the business this week has gone up to an all-time high of nearly four weeks. According to the news, the founder of Alibaba, Ma’an, posted on the company’s Internet a post entitled “Creating for Change”, which is highly positive of Tsai’s new management courage, claiming that Alibaba has returned to a healthy track and supports the continuation of reform. This is the first time in five years that Ma’un has been retired to share his thoughts on the new and future prospects for corporate reform. 摩根士丹利在一份報告中將小米集團港股目標股價從17.50港元上調至20港元，並列為首選推薦。摩根士丹利報告指出，上調目標價是基於對小米電動車業務的估值從900億元人民幣升至1100億元，以及智能手機與人工智能物聯網（AIoT）的協同效應的推動。儘管小米電動汽車的推出時間相比競爭對手而言來得稍晚，但得益於以客户為中心的創新，其獲得了非常積極的市場反饋，相信小米的顛覆性力量正在顯現。生產、交付和服務將成為近期的關鍵因素，而基於先進駕駛輔助系統（ADAS）和智能座艙性能的持續創新將是其長期價值的驅動因素。 Morgan Stanley, in a report, raised the target share of the Mi Group Ports from HK$17.50 to HK$20, as recommended for the first election. The Morgan Stanley report states that the upward target price is based on a valuation of the Mi Electric Motors industry from US$90 billion to US$11 billion, as well as the synergy between smartphones and artificial intelligence networks (AIOT). Although competition over the roll-out time of Mi Motors will be a little late, it will benefit from a customer-centred market reversal, believing that Mi’s resilience is emerging. 小鵬汽車發佈聲明稱，10日通過與森那美汽車的經銷商合作擴大業務範圍。根據聲明，通過此次合作，小鵬汽車將為香港市場的消費者提供最新的智能電動汽車，以及包括品牌展廳、售后支持與貫穿購買過程各個階段的全面指導，預計今年第三季度開始交付。小鵬汽車另外宣佈其在澳門市場的計劃，將與新康恆集團合作，預計今年5月啟動交付左舵車款。 According to the announcement, the car was to expand the scope of its operations by working with the distributors of the Senaima car on 10th of this year. According to the statement, the car was to provide Hong Kong market consumers with the latest smart electric cars, as well as comprehensive guidance on all stages of the purchase process, including branding, post-sale support and buyout, which is expected to start in the third quarter of this year. 萬科企業月內跌超25%，標普將萬科的長期發行人信用評級由「BBB+」調低至「BB+」，因其競爭地位減弱和槓桿率飆升，展望負面，進入「非投資級」。此外，萬科濟南總經理肖勁被警方帶走調查的消息，也給萬科帶來了壓力。 Huanco Industries fell by more than 25% in the month, and the Phuang lowered Vanco's long-term issuer credit rating from "BBB+" to "BB+" because of its weak competitive position and rising pole rates, its negative outlook, and its entry into the "non-investment" level. Moreover, the news that he was taken by the police to investigate has put pressure on Huanko. 友邦保險2023財年新業務價值以實際匯率計同比增30%，以固定匯率計同比增33%，至40.34億美元。新業務價值利潤率則同比下降4.4個百分點至53%。摩根士丹利此前指出，友邦保險股價在公佈去年業績后轉弱，投資者對友邦保險沒有宣佈新股份回購計劃感到失望。但該行認為友邦業務仍然有很多亮眼之處，而未來新業務價值增長亦將是重點關注項目之一。 The new value of friendly insurance has increased by 30% in real terms over the 2023 fiscal year, and by 33% to $4,034 million at the same rate. The new value of insurance has fallen by 4.4% to 53% over the same period. Morgan Stanley has previously pointed out that friendly insurance stock prices have weakened after last year’s posting, and investors are disappointed that friendly insurance has not announced a new equity buyout. 摩通大根則表示，友邦2024財年第一季業績(5月初)公佈時應會確認健康穩健的業務增長和新股東回報計劃的時間表。該行指，友邦股價今年以來下跌23%，同期恆指跌幅為1%，已經考驗了投資者的耐心。該行預期該股將會復甦。 Motun Dagen, for his part, said that friends’ first financial year 2024’s performance (early May) should be announced with a schedule of healthy and stable business executives and new stockholders’ return plans. The bank said that friendly stock prices had fallen by 23% this year, with a constant 1% drop in the same period, and that the investor’s patience had been tested. 香港聯交所最新資料顯示，4月10日，新東方教育科技集團增持東方甄選100萬股，每股作價16.5241港元，總金額1652.41萬港元。增持后最新持股數目約5.78億股，最新持股比例為56.07%。 According to the Hong Kong Federation, on April 10, the New East Education Science and Technology Consortium gained an additional 1 million shares at a cost of HK$16,5241 per share, totalling HK$16,5241 million. 四、下周財報、新股預告及重要經濟數據
經濟數據方面： 周一（4月15日）：美國3月零售銷售月率(%)、美國3月零售銷售年率(%) Monday (15 April): U.S. retail sales monthly rate in March (%), U.S. retail sales annual rate in March (%) 周二（4月16日）：中國3月社會消費品零售總額年率(%)、中國第一季度GDP季率(%) Tuesday (16 April): Annual rate of total retail social consumption in China in March (%) and GDP in the first quarter of China (%) 周三（4月17日）：中國1700億元1年期中期借貸便利（MLF）到期 Wednesday (April 17): Mid-year loan facility (MLF) expires in China of $170 billion 周四（4月18日）：美國截至4月13日當周初請失業金人數(萬) Thursday (April 18): The number of unemployed persons in the United States as of the beginning of the week of April 13th (millions) 周五（4月19日）：日本3月全國CPI年率 Friday (19 April): Japan's national CPI annual rate in March 風險提示：投資涉及風險，證券價格可升亦可跌，更可變得毫無價值。投資未必一定能夠賺取利潤，反而可能會招致損失。過往業績並不代表將來的表現。在作出任何投資決定之前，投資者須評估本身的財政狀況、投資目標、經驗、承受風險的能力及瞭解有關產品之性質及風險。個別投資產品的性質及風險詳情，請細閲相關銷售文件，以瞭解更多資料。倘有任何疑問，應徵詢獨立的專業意見。 Risk: Investments involve risks, and coupons can rise or fall and become worthless. Investments do not necessarily make profits, but may cause losses. Past performance does not represent future performance. Before any investment decision is made, investors must evaluate their own financial situation, investment objectives, experience, ability to take risks, and knowledge of the nature and risks of the product.
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