投资本身，就是让资产轮动起来。既然是资产的轮动，那么就会存在周期，从逻辑上讲，周期无非就是产生到成长，到鼎盛再到衰败这样的过程，在各种领域都是适用的，那么周期的变化，在这层面上讲是可预测的。但是，投资的市场是有人参与的，并且还是不少的人参与的，人的情绪和行为，很多时候是无法单纯用逻辑去判断的，也就是无法预测的。所以总结一下，投资市场总是介于可预测和不可预测之间，所以投资的时候不要把希望寄予在那些所谓的市场预测上吧，当下即当下，随时都在变，因为有“人”这个变量因素。
Investment itself is a rotation of assets. There is a cycle. Logically, the cycle is a process of growth to growth, to flourish and to decay, which is applicable in all fields, and is predictable at this level. But the market for investment is participatory, and it is very much participatory, and the emotions and behaviours of people can in many cases not be judged by logic alone, i.e. unpredictable. So, in summary, the investment market is always between predictability and unpredictability, so do not place hope on so-called market forecasts.
楚悦辰：4.9比特币以太坊行情分析及交易参考
: 4.9 bitcoin as a reference for
>. >. >. > > . > >. > > > . > >. > > >. > > >.
比特币昨天下午给的58300—58500的空单，如果你不是很贪拿个几百点利润就走的话是没什么问题的，以太坊给的2100的空单，30—50个点利润也是有的。做单子既不能死卡点位，也不能太贪点位，来回震荡的行情没有多大的利润，见好就收。
The empty list of 58300-58500 that Bitcoin gave yesterday afternoon, it's fine if you don't want to take a few hundred cents of the profit, and the empty list of 2100 that the Etherko gave, and 30-50 cents of the profit. It's neither dead, nor too greedy, and it's not very profitable to go back and forth.
周末国外的交易量比较清淡，没有护盘。又到了国内庄家兴风作浪的时候了。从昨天的情况来看，下方支撑较强，小幅下跌后就被拉上去，从昨天下午57500都没能触及，因此我们要改变一下思路了。今天来看多头更加强势一些，国内庄家往上拉的意愿更强烈，那么我们今天就看一下能不能刷新高？并且有效突破并站稳60000上方。
On the weekends, the volume of transactions abroad is relatively modest, with no frigates. The time has come for the country’s estates to flourish. From yesterday’s experience, the bottom is stronger, and the small drop has been pulled up, and we haven’t been able to touch it since yesterday afternoon, so we need to change our minds.
日线图上看从今天早上8点开始，57900附近一根大阳拉上去，截止发稿前已经位于60000上方，那么比特币我们今天上方仍关注前期高点61800美元的破位情况，因为周末的行情不能按照常理来预测，完全看庄家的心情，技术面就不要去看了，没有意义。
Starting at 8 a.m. this morning, when a big yang near 57900 was put on top of 60,000 by the time of the release, bitcoin today is still concerned about the pre-dating gap of $61,800, because weekends cannot be predicted by common sense, looking at the house's mood, and it makes no sense to look at the technical side.
以太坊的拉升相对比特币更为强势，这个在之前的几篇文章中已经说过了。其他币种相对比特币来说都是这样，比特币上涨其他币种涨幅都要大于比特币，比特币下跌其他币种的下跌也会大于比特币。因为比特币在币圈的地位举足轻重，体量也是最大的，因此在幅度方面其他币种一定是更大的。以太坊上方关注2200的整数关口强压力，下方2050一线支撑。
The tug is stronger than the bitcoins, as has been said in previous articles. This is true for all other currencies. Bitcoins rises more than bitcoins, and bitcoins fall more than bitcoins.
今天操作思路上分为两步，比特币在前期高点附近博取短线空单，回踩支撑位进多单，激进的可以以支撑位作为止损位，稳健的可以以支撑位作为入场位。今天还是多看少动，重点观察今天的收线能不能收在60000上方。
Today there are two steps in the way that bitcoin takes short line blanks near the front heights, steps back to the support position, moves back to the support position. The radical can use the support position as a stop point, and the robust can use the support position as an entry point. Today, let's look less and focus on whether today's harvest will be above 60,000.
具体操作建议：
Specific Operational Proposal:
1、比特币回踩58000附近多单，止损57000，目标60000
One, bitcoin trots around 58,000 more, 57,000 less damage, target 60,000.
2、比特币61300—61500附近空单，目标60000，下破看向58000，止损放到62000上方即可。若止损，则在行情回踩60000—60500的时候介入多单，目标上看2000点。
Two, Bitcoins 61300-61,500 blanks, target 60,000, look down to 58000, and stop damage above 62,000. If damage is stopped, then step in more than 60,000-60500 times and see 2000 points on the target.
3、以太坊回踩2100附近多单，目标2200，止损2050
Three, Ether's back on more than 2100, target 2200, cut down 2050.
4、以太坊2200附近空单，目标2150，下破则看向2100附近，止损2230，若止损，则在行情回踩2150—2170的位置介入多单，目标上看100点。
4- The Ether House has an empty list of areas near 2200, target 2150, and the downfall is close to 2100, with a loss of 2230, and if the damage is stopped, more than 100 points on the target by stepping back to the position of 2150-2170.
文章具有延时性，行情分析及操作建议只做参考，行情瞬息万变，需要实时分析跟进，操作建议仅供参考，一切以实仓喊单为准，风险自担！
Articles are time-consuming, analysis and operational advice are used only for reference purposes, they are rapidly changing and require real-time analysis and follow-up. Operational advice is provided for reference purposes only.
投资感悟，与君共勉
invests in a sense of solidarity with the King. >/strong
离希望、贪婪和恐惧越远，交易成功的机会越大。为什么会有成千上百的人分析起技术图表来头头是道，但是真正优秀的交易者却凤毛麟角?原因在于他们需要花费更多时间在自己的心理学上，而不是分析方法上。
The further away from hope, greed, and fear, the greater the chances of a successful trade. Why is it that hundreds of people analyze the technical chart in the first place, but the real good traders are desperate? Because they need to spend more time on their psychology than on analytical methods.
工欲善其事，必先利其器。林肯也说过，“我如果要花八小时砍倒一棵树，那么我就会花六小时把自己的斧子磨的锋利。”在币圈交易上，这一格言可以理解为：研究和学习十分重要。为了交易所做的准备所花费的时间要超过下单和看盘所花的时间。
If I had to cut down a tree for eight hours, I would have spent six hours sharpening my ax. In currency trading, this adage can be understood as: research and learning are important. Preparation for a deal takes longer than the next one and the watch.
绝大多数交易者都不如市场和买卖信号有耐性。有句古老的格言这么说，市场会尽一切可能把大部分交易者气疯。只要有人逆势而为，市场的趋势就会一直持续。
Most traders are less resilient than markets and trading signals. There is an old adage that markets do everything possible to drive most traders mad. As long as there is resistance, market trends will continue.
文/楚悦辰
Man/Chumbsp; & nbsp;
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