厄瓜多尔( El Salvador),成为地球上首个支持比特币支付的国家,这个法律在该国国会以84位议员的62票支持,支持率:73.8%。
比特币,现在是厄瓜多尔的合法货币。
接下来,还会有其他小国,蹭比特币的热点,吸引外资。
Next, there will be other small countries, the hot spots of bitcoin, which attract foreign capital.
厄瓜多尔,人口是645万,GDP才270亿美元,不到BTC市值的一个零头。
Ecuador, with a population of 6.45 million, has only $27 billion in GDP, less than a fraction of BTC's market value.
所以,厄瓜多尔让比特币成为其主权货币,象征意义大于实际意义。
Thus, Ecuador has allowed Bitcoin to become its sovereign currency with more symbolic significance than practical significance.
比特币的历史大拐点,在于:将来,支持比特币的国家的GDP总和,超过1万亿美元。
Bitcoin's historical turning point is that, in the future, the countries that support Bitcoin have a combined GDP of more than $1 trillion.
现在,BTC的价格因为回调,其市值已低于1万亿美元。
Now, BTC prices are below $1 trillion in market value as a result of rewinding.
1万亿美元,是个心理关口。
$1 trillion, it's a psychological point.
这是国际清算银行(BIS)2015年的数据,2015年第二季季度末,美元的海外非银行信贷规模已是9.8万亿美元。
This is data from the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) for 2015, where the size of the United States dollar's offshore non-bank credit at the end of the second quarter of 2015 is already $9.8 trillion .
即使是2015年时的规模,有10%被BTC啃下来,就是1万亿美元。
Even on the scale of 2015, 10 per cent of the BTC was eaten down, or $1 trillion.
所以,BTC接下来的里程碑是:
So the next milestone for BTC is:
1)支持BTC合法支付的小国的GDP之和,突破1万亿美元。
1) Support for the sum of the GDP of the small countries legally paid by BTC, breaking by $1 trillion.
2)BTC的流动性,突破1万亿美元。
2) BTC liquidity, over $1 trillion.
流动性,是指活跃流动的BTC,不是在冷钱包里装死的BTC。
Liquidity means an active mobile BTC, not a BTC that was installed in a cold wallet.
但是呢,因为BTC是基础货币,它演化成M2后,可以放量好几倍。
But, because the BTC is the base currency, when it evolves into M2, it can be measured several times
假如说,用BTC发放贷款,多流通几次后,演化出1万亿美元的BTC的M2,那么十倍的基础货币,只要1000亿美元的BTC。
If a BTC loan is granted and several times in circulation, evolves $1 trillion of BTC M2, then ten times the base currency, only $100 billion of BTC .
当然,用BTC借贷,会还不起。会引发:经济危机,信贷危机,债务危机。
Of course, borrowing from the BTC will not be enough. It will cause: economic crisis, credit crisis, debt crisis.
借了BTC,还不起,只能破产。
Borrowed BTC, couldn't afford to pay, but went bankrupt.
这个,就是1929年金本位时的金融危机。
This is the financial crisis of 1929 gold.
美元放水,对于厄瓜多尔这个小国囤的BTC来说,就升值了。
The United States dollar was released, and for Ecuador, a small country that hoarded BTC, it appreciated.
这样,美联储的镰刀就无法收割厄瓜多尔的BTC储户。
In this way, the Fed's sickle will not be able to harvest Ecuador's BTC depositor.
这个,会实现厄瓜多尔的BTC对美元的全面替代。
This would result in a full replacement of Ecuador's BTC against the United States dollar.
如果有1万亿美元GDP的多个支持BTC的小国,就是1万亿美元GDP规模的对美元需求的消失。这样,这些海外美元回流美国就会扩大美国的通胀。
If there are multiple BTC-backed small countries with $1 trillion in GDP, it will be the disappearance of $1 trillion in GDP-sized demand for the dollar. In this way, , the overseas dollar returns to the United States, increasing inflation in the United States .
这是:美国历年放水淹死地球人的反噬。
This is: the United States has watered and drowned the humans of the Earth over the years.
华尔街可以做多,也可以做空。他们可以做空美元赚钱。
Wall Street can do more or it can be empty. They can make empty dollars to make money. .
所以,这种美元回流引发的通胀,华尔街能赚钱就乐观其成,抓紧时间建立大量做空仓位。
Thus, the inflation caused by the return of the dollar makes Wall Street optimistic when it makes money and quickly creates a large number of empty warehouses.
就是说,在美元大贬值的崩盘方向,华尔街为了赚钱,会狠狠地踹一脚。
That means that Wall Street kicks hard to make money in the direction of the collapse of the dollar.
所以,BTC挑战美元的历史进程已开启,剩下的就是一个个的步骤的落实。
Thus, the historical process of challenging the dollar by the BTC has begun, and the rest is the implementation of one step.
下一个支撑BTC的小国,估计还是中美洲国家。然后,有可能是迪拜,瑞士和新加坡。
The next small country that supports BTC is probably also a Central American country. Then it could be Dubai, Switzerland, and Singapore.
迪拜和新加坡,将是非常重要的观察点。新西兰,也有可能会在新加坡之后支持BTC。
Dubai and Singapore will be very important points of view. New Zealand, too, may support the BTC after Singapore.
如果新西兰走上了BTC的贼船,那么澳大利亚也就快了。
If New Zealand were to embark on the BTC stolen ship, Australia would soon be.
最终,日本可能会储备一点BTC的外储。
At the end of the day, Japan may reserve a bit of BTC's outstock.
假如新加坡或者迪拜支持BTC,它的币价应该能上十万美元。
If Singapore or Dubai supported BTC, it should be worth $100,000.
美国是选票本位的社会,美国政客得罪谁,也不敢得罪有BTC的美国选民。
The United States is a vote-based society, and the American politicians are not afraid to offend anyone, nor the American voters of the BTC.
所以,有一天在新泽西的沃尔玛门店,就能用BTC结账。
So one day at Wal-Mart's in New Jersey, you can pay with the BTC.
可以在美国一年不用美元,只用BTC支付。
It can be paid in United States dollars for one year and in BTC only.
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