连日来，比特币一度成为社交媒体热搜词汇。
Every day, Bitcoin became a social media vocabulary.
6月22日比特币冲破万元大关后，比特币市场虽然出现回调，但其单价已经连续三天保持在一万美元以上。截至24日下午五点半，比特币价格达到10854美元，24小时涨幅为1.86%。
After Bitcoin broke through the tens of thousands of dollars on 22 June, the Bitcoin market, despite its rebound, remained at more than $10,000 for three consecutive days. By 5:30 p.m., the Bitcoin price stood at $10,854, a 24-hour increase of 1.86 per cent.
“2017年，比特币单价第一次超过1万美元时，我印象最深的就是周围很多朋友开始找我，问我什么是比特币和区块链。这其实反映了，比特币作为全新的资产形态，大多数人比较陌生。但一旦达到1万美元这个很高的价格，就会让非常多的人重新来审视比特币和数字资产，进而可能会带来资金的进入。”火币大学校长于佳宁接受新京报记者采访时回忆道。
“In 2017, when the unit price of bitcoin first exceeded $10,000, I was most impressed by the fact that many of my friends around me began to ask me what bitcoin and block chains were. This actually reflects that bitcoin, as a brand-new asset, is relatively new to most people.
值得注意的是，24日凌晨起，受比特币上涨而反弹的一众数字货币均开始回调，幅度为1%-3%。财经评论员肖磊对记者强调比特币行情存在大幅波动的可能。在他看来，由于暂时缺乏各种规则的约束，各类投资者都抱有较大的投机和赌博心态，行情往往来去匆匆。
It is worth noting that, from the early morning of 24th day, a number of digital currencies rebounded from the increase in bitcoin, ranging from 1 to 3%. Financial commentators Xiao Xiao stressed to journalists the possibility of significant fluctuations in bitcoin movements.
于佳宁建议，投资者不宜轻易追高，做空也要特别谨慎。
Yu Janin suggested that investors should not be easy to pursue, and that they should be particularly cautious in their emptiness.
破万背后：2年前价格“跌下神坛” 3月起回暖
6月22日，比特币价格强势突破一万美元，当日更是上行至11000美元上方 ，截至24日始终保持在1万美元以上。与此同时，比特币市值随之攀升，6月22日时其总市值为1800亿美元，到24日，这一数字为1920亿美元左右。
On 22 June, the price of Bitcoin broke out by $10,000, up to $11,000, and remained above $10,000 as at 24 June. At the same time, the market value of Bitcoin rose to $180 billion as at 22 June, and by 24 June it stood at around $192 billion.
其实，在此之前，比特币市场已经历了长达一年的熊市，并于今年3月开始回暖。
In fact, before that, the Bitcoin market had been going through a year-long bear market and had begun to warm up in March this year.
Wind数据显示，2017年12月16日，比特币价格飙升至1.92万美元并达到历史最高，但随后便“跌下神坛”。到了2018年，比特币价格持续震荡下行，价格一度在当年12月跌破4000美元，跌幅超过80%。即便进入今年年初，比特币价格也颇为低迷。据Bitfinex数据，今年1月-2月，比特币价格维持在3500美元左右。
Wind data show that on December 16, 2017, Bitcoin prices jumped to $19.2 million and reached an all-time high, but then “falled down the altar.” By 2018, Bitcoin prices continued to collapse, and prices fell by more than 4000 dollars in December of that year. Bitcoins prices were quite low even at the beginning of this year.
自3月下旬以来，比特币价格涨势明显，3月27日比特币价格已突破4000美元。时至5月，比特币市场震荡上行：5月3日，比特币价格飙升至6000美元，5月11日，时隔7个月，价格重回7000美元。但到了5月16日上午，比特币价格一度突破8300美元后，当天价格即跌至8000美元，次日，24小时跌幅一度达13%。
Since late March, the price of Bitcoin has risen significantly, with the price of Bitcoin on 27 March exceeding US$ 4,000. By May, the price of Bitcoin had risen: on 3 May, the price of Bitcoin had soared to US$ 6,000, and on 11 May, seven months later, the price had returned to US$ 7,000.
不过，从6月15日开始，比特币价格继续上涨，并于6月22日突破万元大关。而与2018年12月的低点3000多美元相比，6个月时间，比特币价格涨了近2倍。
However, from 15 June onwards, bitcoin prices continued to rise, and on 22 June they broke through the tens of thousands. By comparison with the December 2018 low of over $3,000, the price of bitcoins nearly tripled over a six-month period.
对于比特币连日来保持在1万美元以上，于佳宁对记者表示，从大的逻辑来看，比特币上涨的原因没有变。首先，数字资产是数字经济发展的一面镜子，而比特币是数字资产中的龙头，在价值回归的情况下，具有领涨效应。其次，Facebook发起倡导的Libra项目让人们看到了区块链在支付等领域广泛落地的巨大潜力和价值。
First, digital assets are mirrors of digital economic development, while Bitcoin is the leader of digital assets and has a multiplier effect in the event of a return of value. Second, the Libra project, initiated by Facebook, has shown people the enormous potential and value of the block chain in areas such as payment.
对此，肖磊对记者表示：“本次比特币价格的突破性上涨是多方因素助推的结果，包括市场风险意识转变，全球各类风险加剧导致的投资者分散资产风险的需求以及互联网巨头发行数字货币等事件，对投资者产生了诸多预期层面的影响。”
In response, Shaw said to journalists: “This breakthrough in bitcoin prices is the result of a multiplicity of factors, including a shift in market risk awareness, the need for diversification of asset risk by investors as a result of increased global risks, and events such as Internet mega-issues of digital money, which have had many expected effects on investors.”
比特币价格或持续波动 投资者抱赌博心态
bitcoinprices or constant fluctuations
相较2017年12月近2万美元的“巅峰时刻”，比特币价格这次还有上涨空间吗？
Is there any room for an increase in bitcoin prices this time, compared to the “peak moment” of almost $20,000 in December 2017?
肖磊对记者强调了行情大幅波动的可能。在他看来，从过去几个月的走势看，这个市场已经在经历一轮小牛市，更多的项目也在吸引来自各类投资者的资金，但由于这个市场比较特殊，暂时缺乏各种规则的约束，实际上各类投资者都抱有较大的投机和赌博心态，行情往往来去匆匆。
Shaw stressed to journalists the possibility of a large swing in behavior. In his view, the market had already gone through a round of cattle markets over the past few months, and more projects were attracting funds from a variety of investors, but because of its special nature and the temporary absence of rules, there was in practice a greater sense of speculation and gambling among various types of investors, often in haste.
于佳宁表示，比特币作为数字资产，已经高度金融化，因此大概率摆脱不了“周期性”金融规律，也就是“有涨必有跌、有跌必有涨”。很难精准预测短期的具体走势，但可以确定的是，短期内如果有特别快的上涨，那么就会出现回调因素。
Yu Gianning states that Bitcoin, as a digital asset, is highly financialized, so that it is likely that the rate will not move away from the “cyclical” financial norm, that is, that “ups and downs and downs are ups and downs.” It is difficult to predict exactly what is going to happen in the short term, but it is certain that if there is a particularly rapid rise in the short term, there will be a rebound factor.
Oanda驻纽约首席市场策略师Edward Moya表示：“比特币的波动可能会持续，未来两个关键阻力位分别为1.2万美元和1.5万美元。”
According to Edward Moya, Oanda's chief market strategist in New York, “the volatility of Bitcoin is likely to continue, with two key resistance positions in the future at $12,000 and $15,000, respectively”.
此外，有业内人士表示，比特币的反弹速度，再次证明有必要保持谨慎。Emire Financial Research创始人Whitney Tilson表示，不要被今年的死猫反弹（指股价在长期下跌后，短时间内迅速反弹，然后继续下跌的情况）愚弄，并表示一年后价格将会低得多。
In addition, some insiders say that the speed of Bitcoin’s rebound has proved once again the need for caution. The founder of Amire Financial Research, Whitney Tilson, said not to be fooled by this year’s dead cat rebound (i.e. a quick rebound after a long period of falling stock prices and then continuing to fall), and that prices will be much lower in a year’s time.
Euro Pacific Capital首席执行官Peter Schiff也公开警告称，比特币价格最终会下跌，导致账面收益被抹去。“除非你卖出，否则比特币价格上涨多高并不重要。每个买家最终都必须卖出才能从上涨中获益。但问题就在这里。一旦那些‘坚定持有者’决定兑现，价格就会暴跌，账面收益在实现之前就会被抹去”。
Peter Schiff, CEO of Euro Pacific Capital, also publicly warned that the price of bitcoins would eventually fall, leading to the loss of book revenues. “Unless you sell, it doesn't matter how high the price of bitcoins will be. Every buyer must eventually sell to benefit from the increase. But here's the problem. Once those `strong holders' decide to do so, the price will collapse and the book revenues will be wiped out before they are realized”.
其他数字货币开始回调 专家：不宜轻易追高
在比特币涨势的刺激下，其他币种也集体反弹。6月22日，以太坊(Ethereum)突破300美元， XRP、BCH、EOS等数字货币价格也纷纷上涨。但从2日凌晨起，大部分数字货币迎来回调。据BFX.NU显示，多类币种回调幅度在1%-3%之间。
On June 22, Etheeum broke 300 dollars, and the prices of digital currencies such as XRP, BCH, and EOS rose. But most of the digital currencies returned since the early hours of the second day.
据链塔数据平台显示， 24小时内市值前10的货币1涨9跌，EOS下跌幅度最大，为5.46%，24小时内加密货币市场市值回落至3200亿美元左右。经历周末两日的大涨，比特币突破10000点后一度触及11500点，达到宣布上次牛市结束的位置。
According to the chain tower data platform, in 24 hours, the first 10 currencies went up and down, with the largest decline in EOS, 5.46%, and the market value of the encrypted currency market fell back to around $320 billion in 24 hours. After two days of weekend surges, Bitcoin reached 11,500 points after crossing 10,000 points, reaching the position where the last cow market was declared closed.
该平台表示，目前来看，虽然比特币突破10000美元让很多关注加密货币的投资者开始入场，但尚未带动市场出现抢购情况。持币较多的地址有出货趋势，做空空间逐步增加，短期上行阻力会逐步增大。
According to the platform, while Bitcoin’s pass of $10,000 has opened up many investors interested in encryption money, it has not led to market grabs. There is a tendency for more money-bearing locations to move out, space is growing, and short-term upscaling resistance will increase.
同时，该平台分析比特币短期站稳10500点，24日开始诱空回调后，整理准备下一轮上攻11500点，短期利好出尽，下一波会拉长，尚未达到明显阻力位置。平台币缺乏继续向上的量能，基本回调至本轮拉升前位置，OKB持续关注。其他主流币种跑不出自己的行情，暂不考虑操作。
At the same time, the platform analyzes Bitcoin’s short-term position of 10,500 points, and, after 24 has begun to lure back, prepares for 11,500 points in the next round, making the short-term gains and stretching the next wave, which has not yet reached a clear resistance position. The platform’s currency lacks continued capacity, is largely repositioned to the position before the wheel, and the OKB remains focused.
市场走向尚不明晰，投资者该如何决策？于佳宁建议，投资者不宜轻易追高，做空也要特别谨慎。在他看来，数字资产依然是风险较高的投资资产，资产价格的涨跌幅度和速度都与传统资产有显著差异。
Market trends are unclear, so how to make decisions about investors? In Janin, investors are advised that it is not appropriate to pursue them easily, and to be particularly cautious.
于佳宁还强调，数字资产背后的权益机制以及技术依托与传统的投资资产显著不同，在投资数字资产之前，一定要对区块链技术、分布式商业逻辑、数字金融体系进行全面、透彻的学习理解，这样才能清晰地认知相关数字资产的内在价值，从本质上控制投资的风险。
It was also stressed that the equity mechanisms and technology behind digital assets are significantly different from traditional investment assets and that, before investing in digital assets, it is important to have a comprehensive and thorough learning understanding of block chain technology, distributed business logic, digital financial systems, in order to have a clear understanding of the intrinsic value of the related digital assets and to contain the risk of investment in essence.
新京报记者 张姝欣 编辑 王进雨 校对 杨许丽
JANG Xianxin, editor, Wang Raining & nbsp; proofreading & nbsp; Yang Shrei
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