比特币2017开年继续牛市行情 单枚已突破1000美元

　　突破1000美元！比特币2017开年继续牛市行情

在其他投资品类表现下行时，为何比特币这种被众多投资者认为“并无实际价值”的数字货币能够持续上涨？

Why does a digital currency such as Bitcoin, which many investors regard as “not of real value”, continue to rise when it comes down to other investment classes?

　　来源：界面

Source: Interface

　　“比特币牛市”在新的一年依旧势如破竹。2017年1月1日至2日，比特币累计涨幅超过7.5%，截至界面新闻发稿，比特币价格涨破7300元/枚，距2013年历史最高价8000元仅相差700元，以在岸人民币兑美元最新收盘价计算，已突破1000美元。

The city of Bitcoin is still in a state of disarray in the new year. Between 1 and 2 January 2017, the cumulative increase in Bitcoin was over 7.5%, and by the time of the interface news release, the price of Bitcoin had broken by 7,300 yuan/mere, a mere 700 yuan difference from the 2013 historical peak of $8,000, which was a breakthrough of $1,000 in the latest round-up of the on-shore renminbi against the United States dollar.

　　火币网COO朱嘉伟告诉界面新闻记者，在刚刚过去的2016年，比特币全年处于上升通道，最高价格为6596元，一年上涨180%，对于投资者来说，是投资回报率高的“牛市时期”。

The gunnet COO Jojave told the interface journalists that, in the recent past, 2016, Bitcoin had been on a year-on-year upward trajectory with a maximum price of $6596 and an increase of 180 per cent a year, which, for investors, was a “cow-market period” with a high return on investment.

　　“牛市”带来的是国内各平台交易量的增长。OKCoin向界面新闻记者透露，2016年12月比特币的最低交易量出现在12月19日，交易量为67万元，当日价格为5588元，当月最高交易量出现在12月22日，涨至549万元，当日比特币价格为6180元。

“Cow City” brings with it an increase in the volume of transactions on various platforms in the country. OKCoin reports to the interface journalists that the lowest volume of transactions in December 2016 was recorded on December 19, with a transaction volume of $670,000, and the price on that day was $5588, and the highest volume of transactions in the month was recorded on December 22, when it rose to $5.49 million, and the price on December was $6180.

　　在其他投资品类表现下行时，为何比特币这种被众多投资者认为“并无实际价值”的数字货币能够持续上涨？在投资人数增加、交易量增长下，这波行情最终会将币价推到多高的位置？

Why does a digital currency such as Bitcoin, perceived by many investors as “no real value,” continue to rise when other types of investment are down? How high does this wave eventually put the price at the top, given the increase in the number of investments and the volume of transactions?

　　一位比特币分析师告诉界面新闻记者，比特币因为有类黄金属性，所以作为投资品来说有一定的升值空间，但是由于其价格由市场决定且交易时间是7*24小时的，风险较大是不争的事实。2016年以来，比特币价格的上涨幅度已经超200%，同期在各类市场中表现最好的布伦特原油价格涨幅不过45%，以人民币计价的黄金价格涨幅回落至16%，比特币可以说是2016年表现最好的资产。”

A bitcoin analyst told the interface journalist that Bitcoin had some scope for appreciation as an investment because of its gold-like properties, but that the risk was greater because its prices were determined by the market and the trading time was 7*24 hours. Since 2016, Bitcoin prices have risen by more than 200%, the best Brent crude oil prices in all markets have increased by just 45% over the same period, and the price of gold in renminbi has fallen to 16%, and Bitcoin can be described as the best asset in 2016.”

　　多位业内资深人士向界面新闻记者称，此轮比特币上涨行情受国内国际多方影响。首先，比特币持续上涨与国内投资品表现有关。

A number of seniors in the industry said to the interface journalists that this round of Bitcoin upturns was influenced by domestic and international influences. First, the continued upturn in Bitcoins is related to domestic investment performance.

　　朱嘉伟认为，从国内而言，相比其他投资品，股市还处于牛后调整期，黄金在上半年表现抢眼，下半年也是下行状态，楼市也遇到了限购令。比特币相对其他主流投资品来说，门槛相对较低、表现也十分抢眼。

According to Chu Jia Wei, the stock market is still in a state of post-cow adjustment compared to other investments, with gold performing in the first half of the year and falling out in the second half of the year, and the building city facing a restraining order. Bitcoin has a relatively low threshold and performance compared to other mainstream investments.

　　此外，OKCoin币行网分析师表示，由于中国投资者投资渠道有限，如何寻找资产保值方式成为一大难题，中国投资者正在积极寻求替代投资方式。随着投资者避险情绪升温，和其他投资方式一样，比特币交易为中国投资者提供了一种投资选项，来实现资产多元化。

Moreover, the OKcoin web analyst said that since China’s investors had limited investment channels, finding ways of saving their assets was a major challenge, and Chinese investors were actively seeking alternative forms of investment. As investors’ feelings of risk avoidance increased, the Bitcoin deal offered Chinese investors an investment option to diversify their assets, as was the case with other investment modalities.

　　另一国内影响因素为，作为比特币背后的分布式账本技术，区块链在2016年掀起的热潮似乎已经不可阻挡，随着区块链技术被社会广泛关注（包括传统金融业，政府监管部门，科技企业等），比特币被更多人了解。

Another domestic influence is that, as a distributed account technology behind Bitcoin, the hot tide of block chains in 2016 seems to have become unstoppable, and that bitcoin is more well known as the technology of block chains is widely appreciated by society (including traditional financial industries, government regulators, technology enterprises, etc.).

　　OKCoin币行网分析师告诉界面新闻记者，国内投资者对比特币的购买更趋于理性：“投资者将购买比特币由以前的投机行为变成了现在的投资行为，而且大多数投资者是长期持有比特币的。”

The OKCoin web analyst told the interface journalists that domestic investors were more rational in purchasing bitcoin: “the investor transformed the purchase of bitcoin from previous speculation into current investment behaviour, and most investors held bitcoin for a long time.”

　　除国内避险情绪、投资者认知提升等原因推动币价上涨外，国际市场对比特币的需求量增多同样成为推动比特币形成牛市的原因。自今年6月份起，委内瑞拉经济的动荡导致大量的创业者转向比特币挖矿，据外媒报道，委内瑞拉比特币涨至近一千美元。

In addition to domestic risk avoidance and rising investor awareness, the increase in the demand for bitcoin in the international market has contributed to the creation of a cattle market. Since June, the turmoil in the Venezuelan economy has led to a large number of entrepreneurs turning to bitcoin for mining, and, according to foreign sources, Venezuela’s bitcoin has risen to nearly $1,000.

　　分析人士称，由于比特币总量是有限的，国际上对比特币需求增加会让这个天生具有通货紧缩性质的数字资产价格受到一定影响。

According to analysts, because of the limited amount of bitcoin, the increased demand for bitcoin at the international level could have some impact on the price of this inherently deflationary digital asset.

　　界面新闻记者了解到，从普通投资者到专业投资客，目前有三类投资比特币的人群。

Correspondents learned that there are currently three groups of people investing in Bitcoin, from ordinary investors to professional investors.

　　第一类为普通投资者，在交易平台进行投资。目前，中国比特币投资门槛低，在多数交易平台满足100元的充值门槛就可以买卖。但值得注意的是，中国目前没有针对比特币交易平台的牌照，需要投资者加以鉴别。对于普通投资者，比特币投资可以有多种玩法，比如可以进行技术分析、根据消息面判断，这基本也是股市里通用的玩法。

But it is worth noting that China does not currently have a license plate for the Bitcoin trading platform and needs to be identified by investors. For ordinary investors, Bitcoin investment can be used in a variety of ways, such as technical analysis, and, according to the information, it is essentially common in stock markets.

　　第二类，对于有技术背景的投资者，可以做比特币的量化交易，策略上可以做趋势、跨平台套利等；第三类是有优质电力资源和人才资源的投资者，可以尝试比特币的上游挖矿。但前期投入资金相对较多，风险较大。

The second category, where investors with a technical background are able to make quantitative transactions in bitcoin, is tactically trend-oriented, cross-platform arbitrage, etc., and the third category, where investors with high-quality electricity and human resources are able to attempt mining upstream in bitcoin. But prior investment is relatively high and risky.

　　界面新闻记者获悉，国内几家数字货币交易平台均先后在官网发布风险提示。火币网提醒投资者，近期价格波动巨大，且涨跌幅无限制，需做好风险控制；OKCoin分析师提醒投资者，比特币价格完全由市场决定且高收益对应的是高风险，建议投资者们在吃透规则、认清风险的基础上，客观评估自身的投资能力和风险承受程度。理性参与市场交易。

Correspondents have learned that several digital money trading platforms in the country issue risk alerts to the network. The network reminds investors that recent price volatility is enormous and increases and falls are unlimited, requiring risk control; the analysts in OKCoin remind investors that the price of bitcoins is entirely market-driven and high returns correspond to a high risk, and advise investors to objectively assess their investment capacity and risk tolerance on the basis of eating rules and recognizing risks.