根据GSR的乐观情景，Solana的价格从目前的149美元可能升至1320美元以上，市值将达到6140亿美元。即使在较为保守的情景下，价格也有望上涨1.4倍至3.4倍。如果包括质押奖励，这些预测可能会更高。然而，由于在批准的现货以太坊ETF中不允许质押，这可能会限制潜在的增长。
According to the GSR’s optimistic scenario, the price of Solana could rise from the current $149 to over $1320, with a market value of $614 billion. Even in a more conservative scenario, prices are expected to rise by 1.4 to 3.4 times.
彭博ETF分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯（Eric Balchunas）和其他分析师对GSR的乐观预测持怀疑态度。他们认为，现货Solana ETF要获得批准需要重大监管变化，如新任美国总统和不同的美国证券交易委员会（SEC）主席。现任SEC主席加里·根斯勒（Gary Gensler）将SOL代币视为证券，并针对币安和Coinbase的诉讼使审批过程复杂化。
Eric Balchunas, the Bloomberg ETF analyst, and other analysts are skeptical of the GSR’s optimistic predictions. They argue that the approval of the spot Solana ETF will require significant regulatory changes, such as the new President of the United States and the new Chairman of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
VanEck申请现货Solana ETF是在加密资产管理公司3iQ在加拿大申请类似ETF一周后提出的。目前尚不确定像富兰克林邓普顿这样的大公司未来是否会申请现货Solana ETF。
VanEck applied for the spot Solana ETF one week after the encryption asset management company 3iQ applied for a similar ETF in Canada. It is not yet certain that large companies like Franklin Templeton will apply for the spot SOlana ETF in the future.
全球基于Solana的交易所交易产品的价值已经超过10亿美元，显示出Solana在加密市场中日益增长的认可度和潜力。然而，获得监管批准的道路充满挑战，使得美国现货Solana ETF的未来充满不确定性。然而，鉴于目前的讨论，它最终可能会获得批准。
The value of global Solana-based exchange-trading products has exceeded $1 billion, demonstrating the growing recognition and potential of Solana in the encryption market. However, the path to regulatory approval is challenging, leaving the future of the US spot Solana ETF uncertain.
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