周一比特币暴跌5%,跌至6万美元，背后到底发生了什么

加密货币交易员周一继续努力应对不友好的市场状况，因为比特币（BTC）价格跌至62000美元以下，创下一个多月来的最低价格，现货BTC交易所交易基金（ETF）资金外流。

The encrypt currency traders continued their efforts on Monday to deal with unfriendly market conditions, as the price of the Bitcoin (BTC) fell below $62,000, the lowest price in more than a month, and the spot BTC Exchange Trading Fund (ETF) outflows.

TradingView提供的数据显示，比特币在周一凌晨失去了64000美元的支撑，空头设法将比特币压低至60558美元的低点，随后看涨的增援力量成功阻止了低迷，并将其推回到61000美元以上。

The data provided by TradingView show that Bitcoin lost US$ 64,000 in support in the morning of Monday, managed to push it down to a low point of US$ 60558 and then the surge in reinforcements succeeded in stopping the downturn and pushing it back to more than US$ 61,000.

Stocklytics分析师Neil Roarty表示：比特币正在经历一场严重的周一暴跌，价格跌至62000美元以下，这是近六周来的最低水平。一些空头认为，这是市场和情绪的根本性转变。他们将指出比特币似乎不再与上周飙升至历史新高的纳斯达克同步。

According to Neil Roarty, an analyst for Stocklytics, Bitcoin is going through a severe fall on Monday, with prices falling below $62,000, the lowest level in nearly six weeks. Some empty claims that this is a fundamental shift in markets and emotions.

Roarty还指出，包括一些最大的矿工，甚至德国政府——正在抛售其所持资产的传言越来越多。

Roarty also noted that there were increasing rumours that some of the largest miners, even the German Government, were reselling their holdings.

他警告说：如果负面情绪盛行，我们还能滑多远？没有什么是不可能的，但空头已经强调了象征性的5万美元大关是近期的可能性。牛市者将不得不安慰自己，因为在加密货币领域，与往常一样，财富可以迅速逆转。

He warned: How far can we slip if negative emotions prevail? Nothing is impossible, but the symbolic $50,000 closure is already highlighted as a possibility in the near future. The cattle people will have to comfort themselves, because in the area of encryption money, wealth can, as usual, be reversed quickly.

虽然没有人喜欢看到他们的投资呈下降趋势，但市场分析师Grizzly表示，除非突破特定水平，否则当前的市场调整被认为是健康的。

While no one would like to see their investment decline, Grizly, a market analyst, said that the current market adjustment was considered healthy unless it reached a certain level.

Grizzly写道：分析主要作为投机者的短期持有者行为的最重要的链上指标之一是实现价格UTXO年龄带。从历史上看，这一指标有效地充当了市场内的支撑和阻力。当与技术水平相结合时，它提供了更有力的见解。“目前，比特币的价格已经跌破这个标准，”他说。“通过将6万美元左右的静态技术支持水平纳入我们的分析，很明显，比特币仍有进一步调整的潜力。”“此外，3个月至6个月的波段已接近这一技术支持水平，可能会增强其强度，类似于9月份观察到的行为。”。“目前，调整看起来是健康的，”Grizzly总结道。“然而，如果看跌势头持续，预计随后的大幅支撑水平将在5万美元左右。”

Grizzly writes that one of the most important indicators in the chain for analysing the behaviour of short-term holders, mainly as speculators, is the achievement of the price UTXO age zone. Historically, this indicator has effectively served as support and resistance within the market. When combined with technology levels, it offers stronger insights. “To date, Bitcoin prices have fallen short of this standard.” He says. “It is clear that by incorporating static technical support levels of around $60,000 into our analysis, Bitcoin still has the potential for further adjustment.” “In addition, the three- to six-month wave has come close to this level of technical support, which may increase its intensity, similar to the behaviour observed in September.” “For the time being, adjustment appears to be healthy,” Grizzly summing up. “However, if the downward trend is sustained, it is expected that the subsequent substantial support levels will be around $50,000.”

ETF资金外流和交易量下降

ETF outflows and declining volume of transactions

Coinshares提供的数据显示，比特币和更广泛的加密货币市场周一出现疲软，此前全球上市的数字资产投资产品连续第二周出现资金外流。

Data provided by Coinshares indicate a weakness in Bitcoin and the wider crypto-currency market on Monday, following the second consecutive week of financial outflows from digital asset investment products on the global market.

上周，5.84亿美元的加密货币基金流出，使过去两周的总提款额达到12亿美元。

Last week, $584 million in encrypted monetary funds went out, bringing total withdrawals over the past two weeks to $1.2 billion.

CoinShares研究主管James Butterfill表示：我们认为这是对投资者对美联储今年降息前景的悲观情绪的反应。上周，全球ETF的交易量也是自1月份美国ETF推出以来的最低水平，本周仅为69亿美元。

James Butterhill, CoinShares research director, said that we thought it was a response to investors’ pessimism about the Fed’s prospects for interest reduction this year. Last week, the global ETF trade volume was also the lowest since the launch of the US ETF in January, with only $6.9 billion this week.

美国的资金外流占了大部分，上市产品的资金外流达4.75亿美元，而加拿大的资金外流为1.09亿美元。

The United States accounted for the bulk of the financial outflows, with financial outflows from listed products amounting to $475 million, while Canadian outflows amounted to $109 million.

Butterfill表示：“德国和香港的流出额分别为2400万美元和1900万美元。瑞士和巴西与普遍看法相反，分别流入3900万美元和4850万美元。

Butterhill said: “Germany and Hong Kong have outflows of $24 million and $19 million, respectively. Contrary to the prevailing view, Switzerland and Brazil are inflows of $39 million and $48.5 million, respectively.

大部分资金外流来自比特币产品，该产品管理的资产减少了6.3亿美元。尽管负面情绪高涨，但交易员仍不愿做空比特币，做空比特币产品也出现120万美元的资金外流就是明证。

Most financial outflows come from bitcoin products, and the assets managed by the product have decreased by $630 million. Despite negative sentiments, traders are still reluctant to do bitcoins, as evidenced by $1.2 million in capital outflows from empty bitcoins.

Butterfill表示：以太坊（ETH）未能逃脱负面情绪，出现了5800万美元的资金外流。”。“虽然在最近的价格疲软后，一系列altcoin出现了资金流入，但最引人注目的是Solana、Litecoin和Polygon，分别为270万美元、130万美元和100万美元。多资产产品出现了9800万美元的资金流入，这表明投资者将altcoin市场的疲软视为买入机会。

Butterhill said that the Etherkom failed to escape the negative mood, resulting in an outflow of $58 million.” “Although a series of altcoin inflows followed the recent price weakness, the most notable were Solana, Litecoin and Polygon, with $2.7 million, $1.3 million and $1 million, respectively.