全球的金融监管机构正在对涉及加密货币行业的公司进行越来越严格的审查。9月11日,美国证券交易委员会(SEC)第一次处罚了一家加密资产对冲基金,美国金融监管局(FINRA)也指控经纪商蒂莫西·艾尔在一笔加密货币交易中进行证券欺诈。监管机构的这些行动将有助于重建机构和散户投资者对整个加密货币行业的信心。
On September 11, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) first penalized an encrypted asset hedge fund, and the United States Financial Supervisory Authority (FINRA) also accused the broker, Timothy Al, of securities fraud in an encrypted currency transaction. These regulators’ actions will help to rebuild the confidence of agencies and bulk investors in the entire encrypted money industry.
随着市场进一步下跌,比特币对整个市场的主导地位也重新开始稳步上升,目前比特币的总市值约占整个加密货币市场总市值的58%,直接原因就是其他硬币的价格不断在崩溃。
As the market fell further, the dominant position of Bitcoins over the market as a whole began to rise steadily again, with the total market value of Bitcoins now accounting for about 58 per cent of the total market value of the entire crypto-currency market, as a direct result of the continuing collapse of prices of other coins.
根据CoinMarketCap的数据显示,2018年期间,总市值第二高的ETH和第三高的XRP分别下跌了77%和88%,而比特币的整体跌幅则是55%。
According to CoinMarketCap data, the second-highest total market value ETH and the third-highest XRP fell by 77 per cent and 88 per cent, respectively, while the overall decline in Bitcoin was 55 per cent.
BTC/USD
过去三天,比特币一直在9月8日形成的盘中高点和低点之间徘徊。多头未能从关键支撑中获得反弹是一个负面信号。而且现在两个移动均线也在下降,RSI处于负值区,这表明卖方正占据着上风。
For the past three days, Bitcoin has been hovering between the mid- and low-points of the plate that was formed on 8 September. The failure to get a rebound from critical support is a negative signal.
一方面,如果比特币开启新一轮下跌行情,很有可能会在未来3-4天内跌破5900美元至6075.04美元的支撑区。一旦跌破,也意味着比特币的技术形态将完成一个头肩模式和下降三角形形态,这将导致比特币价格迅速向5450美元和5000美元以下下探。
On the one hand, it is likely that Bitcoin will break down the support area of $5,900 to $6075.04 in the next three to four days if it opens a new round of decline. Once it falls, it will also mean that Bitcoin’s technology will complete a head-and-shoulder model and a downward triangle, which will lead to a rapid search for bitcoin prices below $545 and $5,000.
另一方面,如果多头能够成功守住支撑区,将价格推高至6500美元以上,就很有可能向下跌趋势线继续反弹,届时在20天均线和50天SMA会遇到轻微阻力。
On the other hand, if multiple headers succeed in holding support areas and pushing prices up to over $6,500, it is likely that the downward trend line will continue to rebound, with slight resistance to the 20-day mean line and 50-day SMA.
因此,如果我们发现BTC突破6500美元后获得了强劲支撑,我可能会考虑进行交易。在此之前,我建议大家继续在场外观望,等待合适的机会再进场。当然如果之后比特币价格跌破并且维持在5900美元以下,我的看涨观点就会失效。
So, if we find BTC breaking $6,500 and getting strong support, I might think about making a deal. Until then, I suggest that you continue to look out and wait for the right opportunity to re-enter. Of course, if the price of bitcoin falls and remains below $5,900, then my view of the upswing will lapse.
ETH/USD
ETH目前仍旧深陷泥潭,已经再一次刷新了最近52周的价格新低。现在RSI已进入深度超卖区间,而且价格也已经接近ETH此前四次反弹的水平。所以,从接近当前水平的价格开始反弹是有可能的。
ETH is still mired in mudslides, and it has refreshed prices for the last 52 weeks. RSI is now in a deep oversale zone, and prices are close to the level of the previous four ETH rebounds. So it is possible to start rebounding from prices close to the current level.
但是,ETH的任何反弹尝试都将在20日均线和下降通道的下降趋势线上面临阻力。
However, any attempt to rebound from the ETH will face resistance on the 20-day mean line and on the downward trend line of the declining route.
另一方面,如果ETH进一步跌破支撑线,则有可能跌至136.12美元,所以暂时我还是建议大家继续等待下跌结束,等ETH形成反转模式,然后再尝试做多。
On the other hand, if the ETH falls further, it could fall to $136.12, so I suggest for the time being that you continue to wait for the end of the fall and wait for the ETH to develop a reverse pattern and then try to do more.
XRP/USD
瑞波已跌破了0.27美元关口,目前很可能会跌至0.24001至0.24508美元的下一个支撑区间。如果这一支撑区间也被打破,那么XRP的下跌可能会延伸到下一个支撑位,接近0.20美元附近。
Ripper has broken the 0.27-dollar threshold, and is now likely to fall to the next support area of 0.2001 to 0.24508. If this support area is also broken, the XRP drop may extend to the next support position, close to $0.20.
现在两个移动均线都在下降,RSI即将进入超卖区域。所以整体上依然维持在下跌的趋势中。
Now both moving mean lines are falling, and RSI is about to enter the overselling area. So the overall trend is still falling.
XRP之后的任何回调都将面临0.27美元和上方移动均线的强劲阻力。所以,只有当XRP向上突破下跌趋势线后,我才会转变态度,目前我建议大家还是继续观望为主。
Any return to the XRP will face a strong resistance of $0.27 and the upper line of movement. So I will change my attitude only if XRP breaks the downward trend upwards, and I suggest that you continue to look at it.
BCH/USD
BCH目前仍然处于下跌趋势,正朝着400美元的目标下探。如果400美元的支撑被打破,BCH很可能会下跌至300美元至282美元这一区间。
The BCH is still on a downward trend and is moving towards the $400 target. If the $400 support is broken, the BCH is likely to fall to between $300 and $282.
整体来看,BCH目前仍然处于下跌通道内,期间的任何反弹尝试都将面临20天均线和50天SMA的强烈阻力,而这两种阻力都接近下跌通道的阻力线。
On the whole, the BCH is still in the drop path, and any rebound attempts during this period will face strong resistance from the 20-megaline and 50-day SMA, both of which are close to the drag line of the drop route.
BCH在技术形态上还没有出现逆转的迹象。所以暂时我建议大家继续等待。
The BCH has not shown any signs of a reversal in the form of technology. So for the time being, I suggest you keep waiting.
EOS/USD
过去四天,EOS未能突破5.15美元。现在,空头们可能会试图打破4.4930美元至4.6美元之间的支撑区间。
In the last four days, EOS has not been able to break through $5.15. Now, empty people may try to break the support zone between $4.4930 and $4.6.
一旦这一支撑被跌破,EOS很可能会继续下探至4.1778美元,甚至更低,达到3.8723美元。所以我建议手中还有剩余仓位的,将止损位设置在4.4美元。
Once this support is broken, EOS is likely to continue to search for $4.1778, or even lower, to $3.8723. So I suggest that if there is a remaining warehouse in my hand, the damage will be set at $4.4.
另一方面看,如果多头在50天的SMA上方持续三天,那么BCH的走势就将显示出好转的迹象。
On the other hand, if more than 50 days of SMA continued for three days, the BCH would show signs of improvement.
XLM/USD
在过去的三天里,恒星币的价格一直在接近0.184美元这一关键支撑位附近徘徊。9月11日XLM曾尝试回调,但在20天均线附近遭遇了较强的抛压。
For the past three days, the price of a star's currency has been hovering near the key support position of $0.184. XLM tried to return on September 11th, but was hit by a stronger puncture near the 20-day mean line.
目前两个移动均线都是向下的,而且RSI也处于负值区域,之后XLM的价格一旦跌破0.184美元的关口,就会形成一个下降的三角形的形态,从而进一步加速下跌。
At present, both moving mean lines are down, and RSI is in a negative area, after which the price of XLM falls through the threshold of $0.184, it forms a declining triangle, thus accelerating the decline further.
之后如果XLM价格维持在0.184美元以下,那么下跌延续到0.11812475美元和0.082332美元都是很有可能的。另一方面,XLM需要向上突破并且站稳0.25美元再能扭转目前的走势。
If the XLM price remains below US$ 0.184, then it is likely that the decline will continue to US$ 0.11812475 and US$0.082332. On the other hand, XLM will need to break upwards and stand firm at US$0.25 to reverse the current trend.
LTC/USD
莱特币目前正处于强劲的下跌趋势中。现在的价格已经创下了今年以来的新低,跌破了8月14日创下的前一次低点。
Latcoin is currently in a strong downward trend. Prices have now reached a new low since this year, falling down the previous low, which was set on 14 August.
下方的支撑位是40美元至44美元这一区间。如果这一支撑也被跌破,LTC可能会直接暴跌至30美元附近。
The support below is between $40 and $44. If this support is also broken, LTC could drop directly near $30.
目前,LTC的任何回调尝试都将面临20天均线、下跌趋势线和50天SMA的阻力。所以暂时我建议大家继续观望。
At present, any return attempt by the LTC will face resistance from the 20-megaline, the downward trend line, and the 50-day SMA. So for now, I suggest you continue to watch.
ADA/USD
卡尔达诺已经开启了下跌势头,目前正朝着0.054541美元的目标飞奔而去。现在两个移动平均线都在下降,RSI已经深入超卖区域。价格也是连续第六天处于下跌。
Caldano has already started the downward trend, and is now heading toward the target of US$ 0.054541. Now that the two moving averages are down, RSI has gone deep into the overselling area.
现在,随着ADA持续下跌,投资者正在陆续平仓,丝毫没有没有见底的迹象。所以暂时最好的选择就是继续等待抛售完成,然后再考虑启动多头头寸。期间任何回调尝试都将面临0.083192美元和20日均线的阻力。
Now, as ADA continues to fall, investors are leveling their positions, with no sign of a bottom-up. So the best option for the time being is to continue to wait for the sale to be done, and then consider launching multiple positions.
XMR/USD
在9月9日至11日未能突破移动均线后,门罗币开始下跌。目前价格已经处于下跌趋势线附近,很有可能会跌破下跌趋势线,跌至87美元
After failing to break through the moving mean line from 9 to 11 September, Monroe began to fall. Prices are already close to the downward trend and are likely to fall down to $87
现在,移动均线也正在逐渐下降,RSI已跌至负值区间,这表明空头已经开始处于主导地位。所以之前的分析中我也曾建议大家把止损位设置在更高的位置。
Now, the moving mean line is also falling, and RSI has fallen to a negative range, indicating that the void is beginning to dominate. So in my earlier analysis, I also suggested that you put the damage stop in a higher position.
下方76.074美元至81美元之间的区间可以提供较强的支撑,但如果支撑破裂,XMR可能跌至61.5美元,然后继续下探46美元。
The area below between $76.074 and $81 could provide stronger support, but if the support breaks, XMR may fall to $61.5 and then continue to explore $46.
期间的任何反弹尝试都将在移动均线和趋势线上面临强烈的阻力。
Any attempt to rebound during the period will face strong resistance on the moving mean and trend lines.
IOTA/USD
IOTA已经从20日均线开始回落,跌破了9月9日的低点,这使得下跌至0.4628美元的可能性进一步增大。
IOTA has fallen from the 20-day average, falling down the 9 September low, further increasing the likelihood of falling to $0.4628.
而且,一旦0.4628美元也被跌破,那么IOTA很可能继续下跌至8月14日0.4037美元的低点。因此,大家手中还有仓位的我建议将止损位设置在0.46美元。
Moreover, once $0.4628 has also fallen, IOTA is likely to continue to fall to the 14 August low of $0.4037. Therefore, I suggest putting the damage stop at $0.46.
现在两个移动均线都在下降,RSI也处于负区间,整体还是处于下跌趋势。
Now both moving mean lines are falling, RSI is in negative range and the overall trend is still declining.
另一方面,如果多头能够突破并维持在0.9150美元以上,IOTA九江显示出触底反弹的迹象。但是在那之前,每上涨一次都会遇到很强的抛压。
On the other hand, if many of them are able to break through and remain above $0.9150, IOTA has shown signs of a backlash from the bottom. But before that, there is a strong puncture every time they rise.
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